Vermont
W-L: (16-20) PR = 94.7522Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 8- 0 1003 H Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 1- 3 1004 H Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 3- 5 1010 A St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 1- 1 1011 A St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 2- 1 1017 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 1024 H Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 3- 0 1025 H Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 1- 3 1031 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 4- 3 1101 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 1107 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 3 1108 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 1114 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 3- 4 1115 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 0 1121 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 4 1122 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 3- 6 1128 H Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 4- 3 1129 H Cornell AC (20-12, 96.8) 1- 5 1205 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 0- 2 1206 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 2 102 H Dartmouth AC ( 5-23, 93.9) 1- 0 103 A Dartmouth AC ( 5-23, 93.9) 2- 1 103 A Clarkson AC (20-11, 96.7) 0- 9 109 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 4- 1 110 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 3 116 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 2 117 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 1 123 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 5- 2 124 A Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 2- 1 130 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 1- 4 130 H Sacred Heart WHA (14-27, 93.4) 2- 3 131 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 2- 3 205 H Boston University (11-23, 94.4) 3- 0 207 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 213 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 2 215 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 3 220 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 2- 1 221 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 6- 5 228 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 3- 1 228 A Franklin Pierce WHA (23-14, 94.2) 1- 5 303 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 H Maine 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.47
1003 H Penn State 1- 3 -2 -3 0.67
1004 H Penn State 3- 5 -2 -3 0.67
1010 A St. Lawrence 1- 1 0 -1 0.91
1011 A St. Lawrence 2- 1 1 -1 1.91
1017 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.57
1024 H Franklin Pierce 3- 0 3 1 + 2.03
1025 H Franklin Pierce 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.97
1031 H Boston College 4- 3 1 0 0.70
1107 A Northeastern 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.75
1108 A Northeastern 2- 3 -1 -2 1.25
1114 H New Hampshire 3- 4 -1 0 -0.83
1115 H New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.17
1121 A Connecticut 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.48
1122 A Connecticut 3- 6 -3 -3 -0.48
1128 H Cornell 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.68
1129 H Cornell 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.32
1205 H Holy Cross 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.19
1206 H Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 0 -1.19
103 A Dartmouth 2- 1 1 0 0.55
103 A Clarkson 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.67
109 A Merrimack 4- 1 3 1 + 2.10
110 A Merrimack 3- 3 0 1 -0.90
116 H Maine 2- 2 0 1 -0.53
117 H Maine 2- 1 1 1 0.47
123 A Boston University 5- 2 3 0 + 3.00
124 A Boston University 2- 1 1 0 1.00
130 H Providence 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.15
130 H Sacred Heart 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.76
131 H Providence 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.15
205 H Boston University 3- 0 3 1 + 2.23
207 H Northeastern 2- 3 -1 -1 0.48
213 A Maine 2- 2 0 0 0.25
215 H Merrimack 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.67
220 A Holy Cross 2- 1 1 -1 1.58
221 A New Hampshire 6- 5 1 -1 1.94
228 A Boston College 3- 1 2 0 + 2.47
228 A Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.20
303 A Northeastern 1- 3 -2 -2 0.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A Clarkson 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.67 130 H Providence 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.15 228 A Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.20 1017 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.57 1025 H Franklin Pierce 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.97 1129 H Cornell 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.32 1205 H Holy Cross 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.19 130 H Sacred Heart 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.76 131 H Providence 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.15 215 H Merrimack 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H Maine 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.47 1115 H New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.17 1024 H Franklin Pierce 3- 0 3 1 + 2.03 1128 H Cornell 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.68 109 A Merrimack 4- 1 3 1 + 2.10 123 A Boston University 5- 2 3 0 + 3.00 205 H Boston University 3- 0 3 1 + 2.23 228 A Boston College 3- 1 2 0 + 2.47 |
Vermont Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Vermont | |
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 3) | Lindenwood | |
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Mercyhurst | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| RIT | RIT | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) | RIT | |
| Robert Morris | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Syracuse | |
| Brown | Brown | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 5) | Brown | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | Clarkson | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 3) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 4) | Harvard | |
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 2) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 7- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| RPI | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 6) | Vermont | |
| St. Lawrence | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Union | Vermont | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 3) | Vermont | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale 4- 3 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Boston College | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Boston University | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Maine | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Merrimack | Vermont | Vermont 3- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| New Hampshire | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Assumption | Vermont | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) | Vermont | |
| Franklin Pierce | Franklin Pierce | Franklin Pierce | ||
| LIU | Vermont | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Vermont | |
| Post | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Vermont | |
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Anselm | Vermont | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Vermont | |
| St.Michael's | St.Michael's | St.Michael's | ||
| Stonehill | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 4) | Vermont | |
| Bemidji State | Bemidji State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Bemidji State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota 4- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota Duluth | |
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ohio State | |
| St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St. Cloud State | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 16
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 8- 0 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.90 4.08
0 H Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 1- 3 -2.09 5.84 -0.39 0.90 -1.12
0 H Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 3- 5 -2.09 5.84 -0.39 0.90 -1.12
0 A St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 1- 1 -4.62 3.31 0.39 0.90 203.43
0 A St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 2- 1 -4.62 3.31 0.39 0.90 6.69
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 -0.10 7.83 0.39 0.90 -0.13
0 H Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 3- 0 -5.73 2.20 -0.39 0.90 3.28
0 H Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 1- 3 -5.73 2.20 -0.39 0.90 -2.77
0 H Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.06 2.87 -0.39 0.90 4.50
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 0- 3 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 -1.31
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 -1.31
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 3- 4 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.90 -2.25
0 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 0 -4.59 3.34 -0.39 0.90 5.34
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 4 -3.01 4.92 0.39 0.90 -1.19
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 3- 6 -3.01 4.92 0.39 0.90 -1.19
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 4- 3 -3.09 4.85 -0.39 0.90 8.07
0 H Cornell (20-12, 96.8) 1- 5 -3.09 4.85 -0.39 0.90 -1.57
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 0- 2 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.90 -2.41
0 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 1- 2 -4.95 2.98 -0.39 0.90 -2.41
0 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.9) 1- 0 -5.98 1.95 -0.39 0.90 2.83
0 A Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.9) 2- 1 -5.98 1.95 0.39 0.90 4.22
0 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.7) 0- 9 -3.21 4.72 0.39 0.90 -1.28
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 4- 1 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.90 3.42
0 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 3- 3 -6.43 1.50 0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 2 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 1 -5.29 2.64 -0.39 0.90 4.08
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 5- 2 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.90 5.04
0 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 2- 1 -5.53 2.40 0.39 0.90 5.04
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 1- 4 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 0.90 -2.85
0 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.4) 2- 3 -6.52 1.41 -0.39 0.90 -3.12
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 2- 3 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 0.90 -2.85
0 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.4) 3- 0 -5.53 2.40 -0.39 0.90 3.64
0 H Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.28 4.65 -0.39 0.90 -1.66
0 A Maine (12-21, 94.6) 2- 2 -5.29 2.64 0.39 0.90 203.43
0 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.5) 2- 3 -6.43 1.50 -0.39 0.90 -3.08
0 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.9) 2- 1 -4.95 2.98 0.39 0.90 6.09
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 6- 5 -4.59 3.34 0.39 0.90 6.74
0 A Boston College (17-19, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.06 2.87 0.39 0.90 5.90
0 A Franklin Pierc (23-14, 94.2) 1- 5 -5.73 2.20 0.39 0.90 -2.42
0 A Northeastern (28- 9, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.28 4.65 0.39 0.90 -1.31
------
855.35
|
winning pts = 78.9534 losing points = -37.3435
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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